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Risk Management
Feb 28, 2025
5 min read

The Importance of Independent Audits

Why we're waiting for third-party verification before making performance claims, and why you should demand the same from any trading platform.

A
Abduxoliq Ashuraliyev
Research Team Lead

The Importance of Independent Audits

The Problem with Self-Reported Performance

Open any trading platform's website and you'll see claims like:

  • "95% win rate!"
  • "300% annual returns!"
  • "Turn 1,000into1,000 into 10,000 in 30 days!"

The common thread? Zero independent verification.

Why Self-Reported Metrics Are Meaningless

1. Selection Bias

Platforms cherry-pick their best-performing strategies or time periods:

  • Show results from bull markets only
  • Hide strategies that failed
  • Start the backtest at a convenient bottom

2. Overfitting

When you test 1,000 strategies, a few will look amazing just by chance:

  • 95% confidence means 1 in 20 strategies will appear significant by luck
  • Multiple testing problem compounds this
  • Result: Strategies that worked in backtest but fail in live trading

3. Look-Ahead Bias

Using future information in historical testing:

  • Technical indicators that "peek" at future prices
  • Corporate earnings known in advance
  • Survivorship bias (only testing stocks that survived)

4. Transaction Cost Fantasy

Ignoring or minimizing real trading costs:

  • Exchange fees: 0.1-0.3% per trade
  • Slippage: 0.05-0.2% per trade
  • Market impact for larger orders
  • Financing costs for leverage

A strategy showing 80% annual returns in backtest might be negative after realistic costs.

What Audits Actually Verify

An independent audit examines:

Code Review

  • Verify no look-ahead bias in strategy logic
  • Check data handling and preprocessing
  • Validate technical indicator calculations
  • Ensure proper walk-forward testing methodology

Performance Validation

  • Recreate backtest results from scratch
  • Test on out-of-sample data
  • Verify transaction cost modeling
  • Validate statistical significance

Risk Controls

  • Confirm risk management systems function as claimed
  • Test circuit breakers and kill switches
  • Validate position sizing algorithms
  • Verify correlation calculations

Operational Due Diligence

  • Review system architecture and failover
  • Check data quality and sources
  • Validate monitoring and alerting
  • Assess cybersecurity measures

Our Audit Process

We've engaged third-party auditors to review:

Phase 1: Methodology Verification (In Progress)

  • Review of all 486 ML model configurations
  • Validation of 380 trading strategy implementations
  • Backtesting methodology audit
  • Feature engineering review

Status: Legal review ongoing, estimated completion Q1 2026

Phase 2: Performance Validation (Pending)

  • Out-of-sample testing on unseen data
  • Walk-forward validation
  • Monte Carlo simulation of different market regimes
  • Stress testing under extreme conditions

Status: Begins after Phase 1 completion

Phase 3: Live Trading Verification (Future)

  • Monitor live trading for 6-12 months
  • Compare live results vs backtested expectations
  • Validate execution quality
  • Confirm risk management effectiveness

Status: Requires Phase 1-2 completion first

What We Won't Do Until Audit Completion

Until independent verification is complete:

❌ No Performance Fees

We won't charge profit-share or management fees. Everything remains demo/testing mode.

❌ No Guaranteed Returns

We won't make promises about specific performance levels.

❌ No Cherry-Picked Results

We won't selectively showcase our best-performing strategies while hiding others.

❌ No Marketing Hype

We won't use aggressive marketing tactics based on unverified claims.

What We Will Do

✅ Transparent Methodology

Full documentation of our approach, available publicly.

✅ Realistic Expectations

Win rates of 52-68%, not 95%. Drawdowns of 12-24%, not "never lose."

✅ Comprehensive Cost Modeling

Transaction costs of 0.1-0.5% included in all performance figures.

✅ Open Data Collection

Ongoing live trading data collection to validate backtests against reality.

The Cost of Honesty

Our approach has trade-offs:

Disadvantages:

  • Slower time-to-market vs competitors
  • Can't aggressively market unverified claims
  • Lose customers to platforms with flashy promises
  • Higher upfront audit costs

Advantages:

  • Long-term credibility
  • Regulatory compliance-ready
  • Honest customer relationships
  • Sustainable business model

We're betting that long-term trust beats short-term hype.

Red Flags to Watch For

When evaluating any trading platform, be suspicious of:

🚩 Extraordinary Claims

  • Win rates >80%
  • Returns >200% annually
  • "Never lose" promises
  • "Guaranteed profits"

🚩 Lack of Transparency

  • Proprietary "secret sauce" they can't explain
  • No methodology documentation
  • Refusal to share backtest details
  • No information on risk management

🚩 Pressure Tactics

  • "Limited time offer!"
  • "Only 10 spots left!"
  • "You'll miss out if you don't act now!"
  • Aggressive sales calls/emails

🚩 No Independent Verification

  • Self-reported performance only
  • No third-party audit
  • No live trading track record
  • Testimonials instead of data

Questions to Ask Any Platform

Before trusting a trading system with your money:

  1. "Can I see the full methodology documentation?"

    • If no → Run away
  2. "What are your transaction cost assumptions?"

    • If <0.2% total → Unrealistic
  3. "What's your worst drawdown period?"

    • If "we never have drawdowns" → Lying
  4. "Who audited your performance claims?"

    • If "we did" → Not actually audited
  5. "What's your live trading track record?"

    • If "we only have backtests" → Unproven
  6. "What happens if I lose money?"

    • If "that won't happen" → Massive red flag

The Future of Algorithmic Trading Regulation

We believe the industry is heading toward:

  • Mandatory third-party audits for performance claims
  • Standardized disclosure of risks and costs
  • Stricter marketing regulations around promises
  • Investor protection similar to traditional finance

We're getting ahead of this curve by implementing these standards voluntarily.

Our Commitment

We commit to:

  1. No fees until audit complete - We won't charge for unverified claims
  2. Full transparency - Methodology, risks, and costs openly documented
  3. Realistic expectations - Honest performance ranges, not fantasy numbers
  4. Continuous verification - Ongoing validation against live trading results

Conclusion

Independent audits aren't just about compliance - they're about trust.

In an industry full of scams and exaggerated claims, the platforms that survive long-term will be those that build credibility through verified performance and honest communication.

We're building for the long term.


Learn more about our research methodology or try our live demo.

Tagged:
ComplianceTransparencyAudits

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